DISCLAIMER


DISCLAIMER: 1. The risk of trading equities and/or derivatives can be substantial. 2. Any decision to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in this blog will be the full responsability of the person authorizing such transaction. 3. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

quinta-feira, 21 de fevereiro de 2008

Which One Holds the Key?

Clif Droke é um conhecido analista técnico yankee, autor de alguns livros básicos abordando tópicos isolados sobre o assunto. Tomei conhecimento do artigo abaixo em um sítio de terceiros. Em suma, conclui que a contraposição entre AF e AT é apenas aparente, já que são complementares.
Anexo também um chart mensal de Netc4 (ex-plim4). O rally iniciado em 2002 encontrou um muro em uma área de excesso de oferta originada há 10 anos? Um food for thought adicional...
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
http://www.clifdroke.com/articles/feb2008/021908/021908.mgi
...
One of the things Bloch always maintained was that technical analysis, to be extremely useful, should be used mostly for short term trading. Beyond the short term, he said, technical analysis loses its accuracy and is less useful for the longer term time frames. That’s not to say that looking at long-term charts is a wasted exercise, only that a strictly technical approach to predicting the long term outlook for stocks isn’t advisable. To get the long-term outlook, one must look beyond the purely technical approach. That’s where fundamental analysis comes in.
...
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Nenhum comentário: